Rugby

Tennis

Pablo Carreno Busta - Marton Fucsovics: our prediction

23/04/2026•11:10

#10

Pablo Carreno Busta

2:1

4•6

7•6

6•2

Finished

Marton Fucsovics

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovics Preview — Madrid Open

Pablo Carreno Busta, the favorite, faces Marton Fucsovics at the Madrid Open. Carreno Busta shows solid form (80% wins in the last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (90%). Fucsovics, less consistent (40% wins), might offer resistance, but the statistics clearly lean towards the Spaniard, especially on clay.

Our Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovics predictions

Pablo Carreno Busta to Win

Carreno Busta is the clear favorite (odds 1.85). His recent statistics are superior: 80% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 40% for Fucsovics. As a favorite, he wins 90% of the time. On the clay of Madrid, his all-around game and experience should make the difference.

1.82

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Outside Grand Slams, Carreno Busta finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time when he is the favorite. Fucsovics, on the other hand, loses in 2 sets in 90% of his defeats as an outsider. The probability of a short match is high.

1.61

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a match in 2 sets (see previous bet), the total number of games tends to be limited. Fucsovics' statistics show he often loses clearly as an outsider. However, Carreno Busta can sometimes lose a set (30% of the time as a favorite), which could increase the count. Confidence remains medium.

1.86

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovics

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovics Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Pablo Carreno Busta	Marton Fucsovics
Win \| Lose	8 2	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	83%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	37%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%