Rugby

Tennis

Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone: our prediction

23/04/2026•13:45

#33

Nuno Borges

0:2

3•6

4•6

Finished

#30

Mariano Navone

Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone Preview — Madrid Open

Mariano Navone, the favorite with odds of 1.56, shows solid form (8 wins in the last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (90% wins). Nuno Borges, the underdog (odds 2.42), has mixed statistics (40% wins) but can be dangerous. The match is played in Madrid on clay, a surface suitable for both players. No injuries reported.

Our Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone predictions

Mariano Navone to win

Navone is the clear favorite with superior recent form (80% wins vs. 40% for Borges). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (90% wins). The surface (clay) suits him. Borges struggles as an underdog (20% wins).

1.52

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Borges has a 30% probability of winning at least one set as an underdog, and Navone loses a set in 50% of cases as a favorite. Additionally, 'en3set' statistics show that 40% of their recent matches (outside Majors) have gone to 3 sets. A close match is likely.

2.3

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of over 2.5 sets, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Sets on clay tend to be longer. However, if Navone dominates in 2 close sets, the limit could be close.

1.88

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nuno Borges	Mariano Navone
Win \| Lose	4 6	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	22%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	77%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%