Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller — Prediction
21/04/2026
#128
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
11:00
Today
#128
Elmer Moeller
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Pablo Llamas Ruiz, the clear favorite with odds of 1.30, faces Elmer Moeller in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Llamas Ruiz shows solid form (80% wins in the last 10 matches) and high efficiency as a favorite, especially on clay. Moeller, with more modest form (30% wins), will struggle to create an upset. The match should be short.
Our predictions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz to Win
Llamas Ruiz is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.30). His recent form is excellent (8 wins/10), with an 80% win rate as a favorite. He faces Moeller, who is struggling (3 wins/10). The surface (clay) and context (qualifiers) are favorable to him. No known injury alerts.
1.29
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show Llamas Ruiz wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 80%. Moeller, as a favorite, wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets, but he is the underdog here. The gap in level and form suggests a quick match in favor of the favorite.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 42% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 14% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 75% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers