21/04/2026

#250

Marko Topo

10:00

Today

#33

Cezar Cretu

Match Preview

Marko Topo, the odds favorite, faces Cezar Cretu in an ATP match in Rome. Recent statistics show similar form, but Topo has a slight edge as a favorite and a better ability to win sets as an underdog. No injuries reported.

Our predictions

Marko Topo to Win

Marko Topo is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.67). Over the last 10 matches, he has a 50% win rate (same as Cretu), but he performs better as a favorite (60% wins) and especially as an underdog (60% wins). His ability to win at least one set as an underdog is excellent (90%). Against Cretu, who struggles as an underdog (36% wins), Topo has a clear statistical advantage.

1.67

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets

Both players have a 3-set match rate of 30% in their last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams). Moreover, when Topo is the favorite, he loses at least one set in 60% of cases. Cretu, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 36% of cases, but Topo has a strong tendency to win a set even as an underdog (90%). This suggests a significant probability that the match will go to a third set.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Marko Topo	Cezar Cretu
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	25%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	36%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	90%	36%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	60%	75%

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