Marko Topo vs Cezar Cretu — Prediction
21/04/2026
#250
Marko Topo
10:00
Today
#33
Cezar Cretu
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Match Preview
Marko Topo, the odds favorite, faces Cezar Cretu in an ATP match in Rome. Recent statistics show similar form, but Topo has a slight edge as a favorite and a better ability to win sets as an underdog. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Marko Topo to Win
Marko Topo is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.67). Over the last 10 matches, he has a 50% win rate (same as Cretu), but he performs better as a favorite (60% wins) and especially as an underdog (60% wins). His ability to win at least one set as an underdog is excellent (90%). Against Cretu, who struggles as an underdog (36% wins), Topo has a clear statistical advantage.
1.67
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets
Both players have a 3-set match rate of 30% in their last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams). Moreover, when Topo is the favorite, he loses at least one set in 60% of cases. Cretu, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 36% of cases, but Topo has a strong tendency to win a set even as an underdog (90%). This suggests a significant probability that the match will go to a third set.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 36% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 36% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 75% |
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