Rugby

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Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama: our prediction

22/04/2026

Sho Shimabukuro

04:00

#30

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Preview — Gwangju

A tight match between the two Japanese players, Sho Shimabukuro and Yasutaka Uchiyama, in the Gwangju tournament. Recent statistics show slightly better form for Shimabukuro, but Uchiyama is more experienced. No injuries reported. A three-set match is likely.

Our Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Shimabukuro has 40% of his matches in 3 sets, Uchiyama 60%. Statistics show a strong tendency for long matches, especially when Uchiyama is involved. No player clearly dominates, favoring a balanced three-set match.

1.8

Confidence

High

Victory of Sho Shimabukuro

Shimabukuro shows a win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Uchiyama. He is also better as an outsider (50% wins) against Uchiyama (20%). His slightly better recent form gives him a small advantage.

1.65

Confidence

Medium

Over 22.5 games in the match

A three-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Both players have similar serving and returning statistics, which can lead to tight games and limited breaks, prolonging the total number of games.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sho Shimabukuro	Yasutaka Uchiyama
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	71%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	75%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	20%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	80%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	25%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	80%

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