Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama: our prediction
22/04/2026

#7

Sho Shimabukuro
04:00

#30

Yasutaka Uchiyama
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Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Preview — Gwangju
A tight match between the two Japanese players, Sho Shimabukuro and Yasutaka Uchiyama, in the Gwangju tournament. Recent statistics show slightly better form for Shimabukuro, but Uchiyama is more experienced. No injuries reported. A three-set match is likely.
Our Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Shimabukuro has 40% of his matches in 3 sets, Uchiyama 60%. Statistics show a strong tendency for long matches, especially when Uchiyama is involved. No player clearly dominates, favoring a balanced three-set match.
1.8
Confidence
High
Victory of Sho Shimabukuro
Shimabukuro shows a win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Uchiyama. He is also better as an outsider (50% wins) against Uchiyama (20%). His slightly better recent form gives him a small advantage.
1.65
Confidence
Medium
Over 22.5 games in the match
A three-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Both players have similar serving and returning statistics, which can lead to tight games and limited breaks, prolonging the total number of games.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 71% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 66% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 80% |
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