Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtseva — Prediction
22/04/2026
#73
Moyuka Uchijima
12:30
Today
#41
Yulia Starodubtseva
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Match Preview
First-round match at the Madrid Open (WTA) between Moyuka Uchijima and Yulia Starodubtseva. Starodubtseva is the favorite according to the odds (1.54 vs. 2.46). Recent statistics show Starodubtseva has slightly better form (70% win rate in the last 10 matches compared to 60% for Uchijima). Both players tend to play matches in two sets outside of Grand Slam tournaments.
Our predictions
Yulia Starodubtseva to Win
Yulia Starodubtseva is designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.54). Her recent form statistics are superior (70% win rate in the last 10 matches vs. 60% for Uchijima). She also shows an excellent win rate (100%) when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5. No injury alerts have been reported.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
This match is played in the WTA format (maximum 3 sets). Statistics show a strong tendency for two-set matches for both players outside of Grand Slams: Uchijima has 80% of her recent matches in 2 sets, Starodubtseva 90%. When favored, their percentages of matches in 2 sets are 100% and 80% respectively. The probability of a three-set match is therefore low.
1.54
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
The prediction of a match in two sets (under 2.5 sets) reduces the total number of potential games. If the favorite Starodubtseva wins in two sets, a close score (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) would yield 20 games. Even with a tight set, the total would often remain below the 22.5 threshold. Both players' tendency for two-set matches supports this bet, although a very one-sided set could cause it to fail.
1.65
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 80% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 60% |
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