Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto — Prediction
22/04/2026
#36
Alycia Parks
13:30
Today
#21
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
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2
Match Preview
First-round match in Madrid between Alycia Parks, athletic underdog, and Elisabetta Cocciaretto, logical favorite. Recent statistics show similar form (60% wins in last 10 matches), but Cocciaretto is more solid as a favorite (80% wins). The match could be tight with a lost set by the favorite.
Our predictions
Victory for Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Cocciaretto is clearly the favorite (odds 1.37). Her statistics as a favorite are excellent: 80% wins in her last 10 matches in that role. Although Parks is dangerous (70% chance of winning a set as an underdog), Cocciaretto's consistency and experience should prevail.
1.38
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If Cocciaretto wins in 2 sets, a total games under 22.5 is plausible. As a favorite, she wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Even with a lost set, a 3-set match can stay under this limit if the sets are not too tight (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-2). The recent form of both players (60% wins) does not suggest overwhelming dominance, but a relatively controlled 2-0 win remains the most likely scenario.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Cocciaretto loses a set as a favorite in 50% of her last 10 matches. Parks, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 70% of cases. Their respective percentages of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams) are 20% for Parks and 50% for Cocciaretto. A 2-0 win for the favorite is likely, but the risk of a lost set is significant.
2.45
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 42% | 0% |
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