Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini — Prediction
22/04/2026
#87
Dino Prizmic
12:30
Today
#6
Matteo Berrettini
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Dino Prizmic, a young prospect, faces the experienced Matteo Berrettini, a former top 10 player, at the Madrid Open. Berrettini is the betting favorite, but Prizmic shows superior recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches vs 40% for Berrettini). The match could be tight, with a significant probability of seeing over 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Berrettini, although the favorite, often loses a set as a favorite (70% in last 10 matches). Prizmic often wins at least one set as an underdog (60%). Their 'non-Grand Slam' statistics show 30% of matches going to 3 sets each, but the context (vulnerable favorite, in-form underdog) favors a long match.
2.2
Confidence
High
Victory for Matteo Berrettini
Berrettini is the logical favorite (odds 1.63) due to his experience and historical ranking. However, his recent form is patchy (40% win rate) and he often loses a set. Victory is likely, but not certain, and may require three sets.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 14% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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