Rugby

Tennis

Yulia Putintseva - Marta Kostyuk: our prediction

24/04/2026•15:50

Yulia Putintseva

0:2

1•6

3•6

Finished

Marta Kostyuk

Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk Preview — Madrid Open

First round match of the 2026 Madrid Open between Yulia Putintseva and Marta Kostyuk. Kostyuk is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.25, while Putintseva is the underdog at 3.82. Statistics show Kostyuk has an overall win rate of 80% in her last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Putintseva. On clay, Kostyuk is particularly solid.

Our Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk predictions

Victory for Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk is the logical favorite with a very low odds of 1.25. She has an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, and 90% when she is the favorite. Putintseva, on the other hand, has only 40% wins as an underdog. Recent form and surface (clay) clearly favor Kostyuk.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a 2-set win for Kostyuk, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Kostyuk's 2-set matches are often tight but quick, and Putintseva struggles to compete with favorites. A typical score like 6-3, 6-4 would give 19 games, well below the limit.

1.46

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Kostyuk has finished 80% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Putintseva 50%. As a favorite, Kostyuk wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is high, especially with Kostyuk's expected dominance.

1.36

Confidence

High

Market signals on Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Yulia Putintseva	Marta Kostyuk
Win \| Lose	6 4	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	75%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	14%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	28%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%