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Nicolas Barrientos vs Milos Karol — Prediction

25/04/2026•12:15
Nicolas Barrientos
Ariel Behar

Nicolas / Ariel

2:1
7•6
4•6
10•7
Finished
Milos Karol
Andrew Paulson

Milos / Andrew

-
1
-
X
-
2

Match Preview

Match of the Rome tournament between Nicolas Barrientos and Milos Karol. Barrientos is the favorite with odds of 1.5, but his recent win rate is only 30%. Karol, the underdog at 2.45, has a win rate of 40% and has won 70% of his matches in 2 sets when favored. The match promises to be tight, with a high probability of both players winning at least one set.

Our predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a balanced history in terms of sets: Barrientos wins 50% of his matches in 2 sets and 50% in 3 sets, while Karol has exactly the same percentages. Additionally, as an underdog, Barrientos often loses in 3 sets (60%), and Karol as an underdog often wins in 2 sets (60%). The trend is towards a tight match, favoring over 2.5 sets.
2.25
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, both players tend to play tight but not excessively long sets. Barrientos has a 50% win rate in 2 sets and Karol also. Additionally, as a favorite, Barrientos wins 71.4% of his matches in 2 sets, and Karol 70% in 2 sets. This suggests that even in 3 sets, the total number of games could remain under 22.5.
1.8
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Victory of Milos Karol
Although Barrientos is the favorite, his recent form is poor with only 30% wins. Karol, despite his underdog status, has a 40% win rate and has shown good ability to win as a favorite (50%). The attractive odds of 2.45 for Karol justify this low-confidence bet.
2.5
Confidence
Low (40%)

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