Nicolas Barrientos vs Milos Karol — Prediction
25/04/2026•12:15
Nicolas / Ariel
2:1
7•6
4•6
10•7
Finished
Milos / Andrew
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Match of the Rome tournament between Nicolas Barrientos and Milos Karol. Barrientos is the favorite with odds of 1.5, but his recent win rate is only 30%. Karol, the underdog at 2.45, has a win rate of 40% and has won 70% of his matches in 2 sets when favored. The match promises to be tight, with a high probability of both players winning at least one set.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a balanced history in terms of sets: Barrientos wins 50% of his matches in 2 sets and 50% in 3 sets, while Karol has exactly the same percentages. Additionally, as an underdog, Barrientos often loses in 3 sets (60%), and Karol as an underdog often wins in 2 sets (60%). The trend is towards a tight match, favoring over 2.5 sets.
2.25
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, both players tend to play tight but not excessively long sets. Barrientos has a 50% win rate in 2 sets and Karol also. Additionally, as a favorite, Barrientos wins 71.4% of his matches in 2 sets, and Karol 70% in 2 sets. This suggests that even in 3 sets, the total number of games could remain under 22.5.
1.8
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Victory of Milos Karol
Although Barrientos is the favorite, his recent form is poor with only 30% wins. Karol, despite his underdog status, has a 40% win rate and has shown good ability to win as a favorite (50%). The attractive odds of 2.45 for Karol justify this low-confidence bet.
2.5
Confidence
Low (40%)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 71% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 28% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 57% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 85% |
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