August Holmgren vs Soon Woo Kwon — Prediction
26/04/2026
#66
August Holmgren
04:00
Tomorrow
#50
Soon-Woo Kwon
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Match of the Gwangju tournament between August Holmgren and Soon-Woo Kwon. Kwon is the favorite with odds at 1.33, backed by 80% recent wins. Holmgren, underdog at 3.08, has 60% wins but will need to raise his level to trouble the South Korean.
Our predictions
Victory of Soon-Woo Kwon
Soon-Woo Kwon is the logical favorite with odds at 1.33. He has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Holmgren. Additionally, Kwon wins 70% of his matches as a favorite, while Holmgren only wins 30% as an underdog. The level difference is significant.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, 70% of both players' non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets. Kwon, favorite, wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Holmgren, underdog, loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The match should conclude in 2 sets, thus under 2.5 sets.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players have 70% of their non-Grand Slam matches ending in 2 sets. Kwon, as a favorite, wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Holmgren, as an underdog, loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets. A quick 2-set win by Kwon is very likely, keeping the total games under 22.5.
1.75
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 80% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 40% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 0% |
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