Aleksandra Krunic vs Marie Bouzkova — Prediction
26/04/2026•15:15


Aleksandra / Kristina
2:1
3•6
7•5
11•9
Finished


Marie / Linda
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
First round match of the Madrid Open between Aleksandra Krunic and Marie Bouzkova. Bouzkova, the favorite, shows much better recent form (70% wins) against a struggling Krunic (20% wins).
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Bouzkova wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets, and Krunic 60%. The match will most likely end in 2 sets, which is under 2.5 sets. This bet is consistent with the 'under 22.5 games' bet.
2.4
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Bouzkova finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets, and Krunic 60%. The probability of the match going over 22.5 games is low, especially if Bouzkova dominates. A straight-sets win is very likely.
2.4
Confidence
High
Victory for Marie Bouzkova
Bouzkova is clearly the favorite with odds at 1.55. She has won 70% of her last 10 matches compared to only 20% for Krunic. Bouzkova also performs better when favored (80% wins). Krunic is in a crisis of confidence.
2.39
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 12% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 28% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 100% |
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