Belinda Bencic - Hailey Baptiste: our prediction
27/04/2026•11:10

#8

Belinda Bencic
1:2
1•6
7•6
3•6
Finished

#21

Hailey Baptiste
-
1
-
X
-
2
Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste Preview — Madrid Open
Belinda Bencic faces Hailey Baptiste in the first round of the Madrid Open. Bencic is the favorite with odds of 1.35, while Baptiste is the underdog at 3.19. Both players have a 70% win rate in their last 10 matches. Bencic tends to play tight matches, with 50% of her matches going to 3 sets. Baptiste, on the other hand, often finishes in 2 sets (70%).
Our Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Baptiste has a strong tendency to play in 2 sets (70% of her matches). Bencic, although having 50% of her matches go to 3 sets, is a favorite who should be able to win in 2 sets. Baptiste's tendency to lose quickly in 2 sets, combined with Bencic's strength as a favorite, makes a 2-set match likely.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Baptiste finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets, suggesting relatively short matches. Bencic, although having 50% of her matches go to 3 sets, is a solid favorite who should be able to manage the match without letting it drag on. The combination of Bencic's form and Baptiste's tendency to lose quickly in 2 sets makes a match with under 22.5 games likely.
1.61
Confidence
High
Victory of Belinda Bencic
Belinda Bencic is the logical favorite in this match. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, and when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5 (as here), she wins 100% of her matches (4/4). Baptiste, as an underdog against an opponent with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, has only won 66.7% of her matches (2/3). Bencic appears more solid and experienced on this type of surface.
1.38
Confidence
High
Market signals on Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 0% |
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