Alexandr Binda vs Sergey Fomin — Prediction
28/04/2026
Alexandr / Svyatoslav
12:10
Today
Sergey / Vladyslav
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Match Preview
The match between Alexandr Binda and Sergey Fomin in Shymkent 2 sees a clear favorite, Sergey Fomin, with an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches compared to only 30% for Binda. Fomin is also very solid as a favorite (90% wins) and tends to play close matches, with 60% of his matches going to 3 sets. Binda, on the other hand, struggles to win as an underdog (30%) but has a good rate of matches in 2 sets (80%).
Our predictions
Victory for Sergey Fomin
Sergey Fomin is the clear favorite in this match. He has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to only 30% for Binda. Moreover, as a favorite, Fomin wins 90% of his matches, strengthening his position. Binda, as an underdog, only wins 30% of the time. The odds reflect this dominance, and the probability of a Fomin victory is very high.
1.8
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Over 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability of the match going to 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), it is logical to expect a high total number of games. With players who can hold their own, the total games could exceed 22.5. Fomin has shown he can play close matches, and Binda, although weaker, could take a set, lengthening the match.
1.8
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Sergey Fomin tends to play matches in 3 sets, with 60% of his non-Grand Slam matches going beyond 2 sets. Alexandr Binda, although having an 80% rate of matches in 2 sets, could be pushed to his limits by a stronger Fomin. The probability of the match going to 3 sets is high, especially if Binda manages to win a set.
1.8
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 62% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 66% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 85% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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