Luciano Darderi vs Guido Andreozzi — Prediction
29/04/2026
Luciano / Stefanos
13:00
Today
Guido / Manuel
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Luciano Darderi faces Guido Andreozzi in the first round of the 2026 Madrid Open on clay. Darderi is the favorite with odds of 1.26, while Andreozzi is the underdog at 3.71. Darderi has shown solid recent form, while Andreozzi has struggled to string together wins.
Our predictions
Victory for Luciano Darderi
Darderi is favored on clay, his preferred surface, and has a better recent win percentage (40% vs 10% for Andreozzi). Andreozzi has lost 9 of his last 10 matches.
3.77
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the likelihood of a 2-set match and Darderi's expected dominance, the total number of games should stay under 22.5. Andreozzi is unlikely to push the match deep.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Andreozzi finished 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Darderi 50%. As an underdog, Andreozzi has 80% of his matches in 2 sets. A straight-sets match is likely.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 1 9 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 71% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 40% |
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