Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Sadio Doumbia — Prediction
29/04/2026
Pablo / Benjamin
14:30
Today
Sadio / Fabien
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Madrid Open match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Sadio Doumbia. Ruiz is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.12 against 5.84 for Doumbia. Ruiz has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Doumbia is at 30%. Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets (80% each).
Our predictions
Victory for Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the heavy favorite with a very low odds of 1.12. He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, and when he is the favorite, he wins 70% of the time. Sadio Doumbia, as an underdog, only wins 30% of his matches. Ruiz also has a perfect win rate (100%) when priced between 1.0 and 1.2, which matches the current odds. No injuries or absences reported.
5.75
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets (80% each). Ruiz, as an overwhelming favorite, should win easily in two sets. Statistics show that Ruiz wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets when he is the favorite. Doumbia, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (70% of his losses are in 2 sets).
1.12
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players finish their matches in 2 sets in 80% of cases. With such a strong favorite (odds 1.12), the match should be quick and dominated by Ruiz. The probability that the match exceeds 22.5 games is low, as 2-set matches typically have fewer than 22 games. Additionally, Ruiz as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2 has a 100% win rate in 2 sets.
1.12
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 42% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 14% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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