Moyuka Uchijima - Lucie Nguyen Tan: our prediction
29/04/2026•15:20

#73

Moyuka Uchijima
2:0
7•5
6•2
Finished

#446

Lucie Nguyen Tan
-
1
-
X
-
2
Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan Preview — Saint-Malo
Moyuka Uchijima, heavy favorite with odds at 1.10, faces Lucie Nguyen Tan (odds 6.36) in Saint-Malo. Uchijima has a 60% win rate as a favorite and often wins in 2 sets (90% as favorite). Nguyen Tan has never won as an underdog and has lost all sets in this situation.
Our Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan predictions
Victory for Moyuka Uchijima
Moyuka Uchijima is the logical favorite with very low odds (1.10). She has a 60% win rate as a favorite and 100% wins when priced between 1.0 and 1.2. Lucie Nguyen Tan has never won as an underdog (0% win rate) and has not even won a single set in that role. Uchijima is therefore vastly superior.
1.11
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games
Given the high probability of a 2-set match (see previous analysis), the total number of games will likely be under 22.5. A straight-sets match (e.g., 6-3, 6-2) typically does not exceed 17-18 games. Even with tighter sets (7-5, 6-4), it stays under 22 games. This bet is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 sets' bet.
1.27
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Moyuka Uchijima wins 90% of her matches in 2 sets when she is the favorite. Lucie Nguyen Tan, as an underdog, has played 2 non-Grand Slam matches and lost them all in 2 sets (100%). The probability of this match ending in 2 sets is therefore very high.
1.28
Confidence
High
Market signals on Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 2 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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