Andrea Pellegrino vs Hugo Gaston — Prediction
04/05/2026
#130
Andrea Pellegrino
13:00
Today
#62
Hugo Gaston
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Qualification match of the Italian Internationals between Andrea Pellegrino and Hugo Gaston. Pellegrino is the favorite according to the odds, but Gaston has a good record as an outsider. The match promises to be tight.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, both players often finish their matches in 2 sets (60% for Pellegrino, 70% for Gaston). It is therefore likely that the match ends in less than 2.5 sets.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets (60% for Pellegrino, 70% for Gaston). A match in 2 sets generally implies less than 22.5 games. The probability is high.
1.66
Confidence
High
Hugo Gaston Victory
Hugo Gaston is the favorite according to the odds (1.73) and has a good record as a favorite (60% wins). Pellegrino has a 50% win rate but only 20% as an outsider. Gaston seems more solid.
1.73
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 33% |
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