Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcina — Prediction
04/05/2026
#56
Benjamin Bonzi
13:00
Today
#127
Dalibor Svrcina
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Qualifying match for the Italian Open (Rome) on clay between Benjamin Bonzi and Dalibor Svrcina. Bonzi is the favorite with odds of 1.72, but Svrcina has a better recent win percentage (60% vs 50%). Bonzi is very solid when favored (90% wins), while Svrcina has shown a good ability to win as an underdog (30%). The match promises to be tight.
Our predictions
Benjamin Bonzi wins
Bonzi is the favorite and has an excellent win rate when favored (90% in 10 matches). Svrcina, although solid, has a win rate as an underdog of only 30%. The odds of 1.72 reflect this superiority.
1.72
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Bonzi, as a favorite, finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Svrcina, as an underdog, loses 100% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high.
1.54
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a 2-set win for Bonzi, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Sets in 2-set matches are generally tighter, but Bonzi's tendency to dominate quickly and Svrcina's weakness as an underdog suggest a short match.
1.73
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 10% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 90% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 28% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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