Anastasia Potapova vs Irina Begu — Prediction
04/05/2026
#27
Anastasia Potapova
10:00
Today
#27
Irina-Camelia Begu
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Match Preview
Qualifying match of the Italian Internationals between Anastasia Potapova, the heavy favorite, and Irina-Camelia Begu. Potapova shows solid form (70% recent wins) and starts with a very low odds (1.14). Begu, the underdog, has 60% wins but will need to pull off an upset.
Our predictions
Victory of Anastasia Potapova
Potapova is the logical favorite with odds of 1.14. Her recent stats show 70% wins, and she has an excellent record as a favorite (70% wins as favorite). Begu, despite having 60% overall wins, has a worse record as an underdog (40% wins). The level difference is significant.
1.14
Confidence
Very high (80%)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the previous one (under 22.5 games). Potapova, as a favorite, finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Begu is at 50%. The probability of the match going to 3 sets is therefore limited, especially since Potapova is heavily favored.
1.29
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Potapova tends to finish her matches quickly when favored: 60% of her matches end in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Begu, for her part, has 50% of her matches in 2 sets. With Potapova's expected dominance, the match should be short, under the 22.5 games mark.
5.23
Confidence
High (65%)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 62% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 40% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 62% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 66% |
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