Ashlyn Krueger vs Nikola Bartunkova — Prediction
04/05/2026

#42

Ashlyn Krueger
10:00
Today

#68

Nikola Bartunkova
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Match Preview
Qualification match for the Internazionali BNL d'Italia between Ashlyn Krueger and Nikola Bartunkova. Both players are evenly matched on paper with identical odds. Krueger has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Bartunkova is at 50%. Bartunkova is designated as the favorite by the system.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to play 3-set matches. Krueger has 50% of her matches in 3 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Bartunkova 60%. As an outsider, Krueger has 40% of matches in 3 sets and Bartunkova also 40%. The probability of a close match is high.
2.33
Confidence
Medium (60%)
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 3-set match, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Both players tend to lose sets when they are favorites, lengthening matches. Krueger has lost at least one set in 60% of her matches as a favorite, Bartunkova also 60%.
2.08
Confidence
Medium (55%)
Victory for Nikola Bartunkova
Bartunkova has a higher win rate (50% vs 40%) and is designated as the favorite. She also has a better win rate as a favorite (60% vs 50%). Krueger has a high loss rate (60%).
1.86
Confidence
Medium (55%)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 57% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 33% |
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