Gabriela Ruse vs Oceane Dodin — Prediction
04/05/2026
#46
Gabriela Ruse
11:30
Today
#53
Oceane Dodin
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Qualifying match for the Italian Open between Gabriela Ruse and Oceane Dodin. Ruse is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.03, while Dodin is the outsider at 10.57. Ruse has an 80% win rate when favored, but tends to lose at least one set in 70% of those cases. Dodin has a 50% win rate as a favorite and 20% as an outsider.
Our predictions
Victory for Gabriela Ruse
Gabriela Ruse is the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.03. Her statistics show an 80% win rate when favored, which is very high. Additionally, she has an 85.7% win rate when her odds are between 1.51 and 1.8, which is close to the current odds. Oceane Dodin, as an outsider, only has a 20% chance of winning. Ruse's victory is therefore very likely.
1.03
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Although Ruse is favored, she tends to lose at least one set in 70% of cases when favored. Additionally, in non-Grand Slam matches, Ruse has played 3 sets in 50% of her matches and Dodin in 40%. The probability that the match goes beyond 2 sets is therefore high, especially given Ruse's tendency to lose sets.
4.42
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, statistics show that Ruse tends to win quickly when favored, with 30% of her matches ending in 2 sets. Additionally, Dodin has 60% of her non-Grand Slam matches ending in 2 sets. If Ruse wins in 2 sets, the total number of games could be under 22.5. However, the risk of 3 sets is present, hence medium confidence.
10.57
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 57% | 50% |
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