Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yuan — Prediction
04/05/2026
#25
Kimberly Birrell
13:00
Today
#48
Yue Yuan
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Qualifying match for the 2026 Italian Open between Kimberly Birrell and Yue Yuan. Birrell, the underdog, has a 50% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Yuan, the favorite, has a 60% win rate. Both players tend to play 3-set matches (60% each). Yuan has better odds (1.68 vs 2.1) and is the favorite.
Our predictions
Victory of Yue Yuan
Yue Yuan is the favorite with odds of 1.68 and a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches. Birrell has a 50% win rate and is the underdog. Yuan also has a better record as a favorite (50% wins) compared to Birrell (70% wins as a favorite, but this includes matches where she was the favorite, which is not the case here). The trend and statistics favor Yuan.
1.67
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a 60% rate of 3-set matches (excluding Grand Slams). Birrell as an underdog has a 40% rate of 3-set matches, but Yuan as an underdog has a 50% rate. The trend is towards tight matches. Additionally, Yuan has lost at least one set in 90% of her matches as a favorite, suggesting she might drop a set, leading to a third set.
2.29
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, both players tend to lose sets quickly. Yuan as a favorite has lost at least one set in 90% of her matches, but often in tight 2-set matches. Birrell as an underdog has won at least one set in 70% of her matches. A 3-set match can total under 22.5 games if the sets are tight (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 = 20 games). The odds of 1.68 are attractive for an under bet.
1.71
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 11% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 90% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 83% | 100% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers