Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu — Prediction
05/05/2026
#1
Sofia Kenin
12:30
Today
#5
Bianca Andreescu
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
First round match of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia between Sofia Kenin and Bianca Andreescu. Andreescu is the favorite with odds of 1.71 against 2.08 for Kenin. Statistics show Andreescu has a better win rate (40% vs 20%) and matches between outsiders and favorites tend to go to 3 sets.
Our predictions
Victory for Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu is the favorite with odds of 1.71. She has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 20% for Kenin. Additionally, Andreescu has a better record as a favorite (50% wins) and Kenin has a low win rate as an outsider (20%).
1.73
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that matches between outsiders and favorites tend to go to 3 sets. Kenin has 40% of her matches in 3 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Andreescu 60%. Additionally, Kenin has lost at least one set in 80% of her matches as a favorite, suggesting a close match.
2.33
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, both players tend to play relatively short matches. Andreescu has 40% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Kenin 60%. Additionally, the fast surface in Rome favors shorter games. A total of under 22.5 games is therefore plausible.
1.66
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 100% |
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