Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva — Prediction
05/05/2026
#58
Lilli Tagger
11:30
Today
#122
Alina Korneeva
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Match Preview
Qualification match for the Italian Internationals between Lilli Tagger and Alina Korneeva. Korneeva is the favorite with odds of 1.33, while Tagger is the underdog at 3.13. Korneeva has an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Tagger.
Our predictions
Victory for Alina Korneeva
Alina Korneeva is the favorite with odds of 1.33. She has an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches and an 80% win rate when favored. Lilli Tagger has only a 60% win rate and a 40% win rate as an underdog. Korneeva performs better on clay, the surface of this tournament.
3.29
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that Korneeva finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Tagger 70%. With Korneeva being the favorite, the match is likely to end in two sets, so under 2.5 sets.
1.42
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in two sets. Korneeva has 80% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Tagger 70%. Additionally, Korneeva is the favorite and should win easily, limiting the number of games.
1.58
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 28% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 71% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 0% |
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