Gustavo Heide vs Lilian Marmousez — Prediction
05/05/2026
#11
Gustavo Heide
11:00
Today
#314
Lilian Marmousez
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X
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2
Match Preview
Gustavo Heide faces Lilian Marmousez in Francavilla. Heide is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.22 and an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches. Marmousez, the underdog at 3.88, has a 60% win rate but has shown a good ability to win sets as an underdog.
Our predictions
Victory for Gustavo Heide
Heide is the favorite with odds of 1.22. He has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches and a 100% win rate when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Marmousez has a 60% win rate but has never beaten such a strong favorite.
1.23
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Heide has 90% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Marmousez 60%. Heide is favored and has a high win rate, making a 2-set victory likely. Under 2.5 sets is therefore a consistent bet.
1.39
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Heide has finished 90% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), suggesting short matches. Marmousez has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. With Heide favored and dominant, the match should end in 2 sets, totaling under 22.5 games.
1.53
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 85% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 57% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 57% |
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