Federica Urgesi vs Veronika Erjavec — Prediction
05/05/2026
#287
Federica Urgesi
13:00
Today
#86
Veronika Erjavec
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Match Preview
Qualification match for the Italian Open between Federica Urgesi and Veronika Erjavec. Erjavec is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.26, while Urgesi is the underdog at 3.53. Erjavec has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to Urgesi's 25% in her last 8. Erjavec is particularly dominant as a favorite, with a 70% win rate and a 100% win rate in 2 sets.
Our predictions
Victory of Veronika Erjavec
Veronika Erjavec is the logical favorite with odds of 1.26. She has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches and a 70% win rate when favored. Additionally, she has won 100% of her matches in 2 sets when favored, demonstrating her dominance. Federica Urgesi, on the other hand, has only a 25% win rate in her last 8 matches and has never won as a favorite. Erjavec is in great form and should prevail.
1.26
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Veronika Erjavec has a 100% win rate in 2 sets when favored, and Federica Urgesi has a 62.5% loss rate in 2 sets when an underdog. The probability of this match ending in 2 sets is very high, meaning there will be under 2.5 sets. Erjavec is very dominant and should win easily.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
Veronika Erjavec has won 100% of her matches in 2 sets when favored, and Federica Urgesi has lost 75% of her matches. The probability of this match ending in 2 sets is very high, meaning the total number of games will likely be under 22.5. Erjavec is very efficient and should not drop a set.
1.55
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 25% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 37% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
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