Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch — Prediction
05/05/2026
#78
Mayar Sherif
13:00
Today
#67
Tamara Korpatsch
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Qualifying match for the Italian Open (WTA) on clay between Mayar Sherif and Tamara Korpatsch. Sherif is the favorite according to odds, but Korpatsch has a better recent win percentage.
Our predictions
Victory of Tamara Korpatsch
Tamara Korpatsch has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Sherif. Additionally, as a favorite, Korpatsch wins 80% of the time, while Sherif only wins 50% as a favorite. The odds are close, but recent form favors Korpatsch.
1.92
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, both players tend to finish sets quickly. Korpatsch wins 60% of her non-Slam matches in 2 sets, and Sherif 40%. A tight 3-set match could still stay under 22.5 games if sets are dominated.
1.61
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Sherif tends to play matches in 3 sets (60% of her non-Slam matches), and Korpatsch also has 40% of her matches in 3 sets. Additionally, Sherif has lost at least one set in 70% of her matches as a favorite, suggesting a tight match.
2.3
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 33% |
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