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Xinran Sun - Mia Ristic: our prediction

07/05/2026•11:55

#650

Xinran Sun

0:2

2•6

1•6

Finished

#264

Mia Ristic

Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic Preview — Istanbul

Match between Xinran Sun and Mia Ristic in Istanbul. Mia Ristic is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.37, while Xinran Sun is the underdog at 2.89. Ristic has a 50% win rate in her last 10 matches, but she performs very well when favored (66.67% wins). Sun has only one match to her name, which she lost. Statistics show that Ristic tends to play matches in 2 sets (70% of her non-Grand Slam matches), while Sun has only played one match, lost in 3 sets.

Our Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic predictions

Victory for Mia Ristic

Mia Ristic is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.37. She has a 66.67% win rate when favored and has won 100% of her matches as a favorite with odds between 1.21 and 1.5. Xinran Sun has only one match to her name, a loss, and has no experience at this level. The difference in level is significant.

1.38

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games

Given that Mia Ristic is heavily favored and the match is expected to end in 2 sets, the total number of games should be under 22.5. A close 2-set match can reach around 20 games, but with the expected gap in level, a score like 6-2, 6-3 (17 games) is plausible. Ristic's tendency to win quickly reinforces this bet.

1.47

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Mia Ristic has played 70% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. As a favorite, she has won 55.56% of her matches in 2 sets. Xinran Sun has only one match, lost in 3 sets, but as an underdog, she has played 100% of her matches in 3 sets. However, Ristic's expected dominance should allow for a 2-set match.

1.43

Confidence

High

Market signals on Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Xinran Sun	Mia Ristic
Win \| Lose	1	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	0%	66%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	100%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	100%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%