Noemi Basiletti - Ajla Tomljanovic: our prediction
07/05/2026•12:35
#357
Noemi Basiletti
2:0
7•5
6•4
Finished
#31
Ajla Tomljanovic
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1
-
X
-
2
Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Ajla Tomljanovic, heavy favorite, faces Noemi Basiletti at the Italian Open. Tomljanovic is much better ranked and in better form, but Basiletti has shown good ability to compete as an underdog.
Our Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic predictions
Victory of Ajla Tomljanovic
Tomljanovic is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.23. She has a 60% win rate as a favorite and has won 100% of her matches with similar odds. Basiletti, though effective as an underdog, has a low overall win rate of 50% and has never been a favorite.
1.23
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Tomljanovic finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets when she is the favorite. Basiletti finishes 75% of her matches in 2 sets when she is the underdog. The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.38
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Tomljanovic, as a favorite, finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (non-Grand Slam). Basiletti, as an underdog, finishes 75% of her matches in 2 sets. A quick victory for Tomljanovic is therefore likely, limiting the total number of games.
1.47
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 2 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 83% |
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