Tatjana Malek - Sorana Cirstea: our prediction
07/05/2026
#45
Tatjana Maria
13:15
Today
#15
Sorana Cirstea
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Tatjana Maria vs Sorana Cirstea Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia between Tatjana Maria and Sorana Cirstea. Cirstea is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.12, while Maria is the outsider at 5.94. Cirstea has a higher win percentage (70% vs 50%) and is favored on clay.
Our Tatjana Maria vs Sorana Cirstea predictions
Victory for Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea is the logical favorite with a very low odd. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Maria. Furthermore, when she is the favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2, she wins 100% of her matches (2/2). Maria, as an outsider against a favorite of this caliber, has never won (0/3).
1.12
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Cirstea, as the heavy favorite, should win the match in 2 sets. Maria, as an outsider, finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Cirstea, as a favorite, finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). The probability of a 3-set match is therefore low, especially since the match is played on clay (excluding Grand Slams).
1.3
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Since Cirstea is the heavy favorite, the match should be relatively short. Maria, as an outsider, tends to lose in 2 sets (80% of her matches in 2 sets when she is an outsider). Furthermore, Cirstea, when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2, has lost a set in 100% of cases (2/2), which could lengthen the match, but the general trend remains a match in 2 straight sets. The average number of games for this type of favorite/underdog match is often under 22.5.
1.37
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Tatjana Maria vs Sorana Cirstea
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tatjana Maria vs Sorana Cirstea Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 42% | 33% |
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