Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean: our prediction
07/05/2026
#4
Jasmine Paolini
13:00
Today
#111
Leolia Jeanjean
-
1
-
X
-
2
Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Jasmine Paolini, the favorite, faces Leolia Jeanjean in the first round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on clay. Paolini has a 50% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Jeanjean has a 70% win rate. Statistics show a tendency for 3-set matches for both players (60% each). Paolini has lost at least one set in 90% of her matches as a favorite, suggesting a tight contest.
Our Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean predictions
Victory of Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini is the clear favorite with odds of 1.21. Although her overall win rate is 50%, she has a perfect record (100%) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Leolia Jeanjean, despite a good overall win rate (70%), has never won as an outsider against such a highly ranked player (0% in this odds category). The clay surface and Paolini's seeding status reinforce this analysis.
1.21
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to play 3-set matches (60% each outside of Grand Slam events). Furthermore, Paolini has lost at least one set in 90% of her matches as a favorite, indicating she often needs 3 sets to win. Jeanjean, as an outsider, has also won at least one set in 70% of her matches. The probability of a 3-set match is therefore high.
2.88
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, the scores tend to be relatively tight but not excessively long. Paolini, as a favorite, tends to lose one set but win the others with notable margins. Jeanjean, on the other hand, has a 70% win rate but has often lost in 2 sets when an outsider against strong favorites. The average number of games per set for both players suggests a total games under 22.5.
1.45
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers