Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ben Shelton: our prediction
09/05/2026

#17

Nikoloz Basilashvili
14:00
Today

#6

Ben Shelton
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Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the 2026 Italian Open on clay in Rome between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Ben Shelton. Shelton is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.26, while Basilashvili is the underdog at 3.74. Shelton has a better recent record and is more comfortable on clay.
Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton predictions
Victory for Ben Shelton
Shelton is the logical favorite with a very low odds (1.26). He has a 70% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Basilashvili. Additionally, Shelton is better ranked and more effective on clay.
1.27
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Shelton is the favorite and has a 2-set win rate of 40% outside of Grand Slams. Basilashvili, as an underdog, has a 2-set loss rate of 60% outside of Grand Slams. The match should end in two sets.
1.46
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Since Shelton is the heavy favorite, he is likely to win in straight sets. Basilashvili has lost 1 set as a favorite in 60% of his matches, but as an underdog, he could lose quickly. The total games should be under 22.5.
1.85
Confidence
High
Market signals on Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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