Elina Svitolina - Noemi Basiletti: our prediction
08/05/2026•19:10
#2
Elina Svitolina
2:0
6•1
6•3
Finished
#357
Noemi Basiletti
-
1
-
X
-
2
Elina Svitolina vs Noemi Basiletti Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Elina Svitolina faces Noemi Basiletti in the first round of the Italian Open. Svitolina is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.04, while Basiletti is the outsider at 11.44. Svitolina has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches and wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets excluding Grand Slams. Basiletti has a 60% win rate in her last 5 matches but has never played as a favorite. Svitolina has lost at least one set in 40% of her matches as a favorite, which could offer an opportunity for Basiletti.
Our Elina Svitolina vs Noemi Basiletti predictions
Victory for Elina Svitolina
Svitolina is the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.04 and a 70% win rate when favored. Basiletti has never won as a favorite and only has a 50% win rate as an outsider. Svitolina has an 80% win rate when rated between 1.0 and 1.2, which matches this situation. Svitolina's victory is very likely.
1.04
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Svitolina wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets excluding Grand Slams, and Basiletti also 80%. Both players tend to finish matches quickly. With Svitolina as the heavy favorite, the match is likely to end in 2 sets, so under 2.5 sets.
1.14
Confidence
High
Market signals on Elina Svitolina vs Noemi Basiletti
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Elina Svitolina vs Noemi Basiletti Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 3 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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