Rugby

Tennis

Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: our prediction

08/05/2026•22:35

#10

Lorenzo Musetti

2:0

6•4

Finished

#30

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Lorenzo Musetti, the favorite, faces Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Musetti is in good form on clay and has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches. Mpetshi Perricard, the underdog, has a 40% win rate but tends to push matches to 3 sets (60% outside Grand Slams).

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard predictions

Victory of Lorenzo Musetti

Musetti is the favorite with odds of 1.15. He has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches and is particularly strong on clay, his favorite surface. Mpetshi Perricard, although capable of pushing to 3 sets, has a 60% loss rate and is less experienced on this surface.

1.11

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Mpetshi Perricard tends to play matches in 3 sets (60% outside Grand Slams) and Musetti has lost at least one set as a favorite in 50% of his matches. The high odds of 5.34 reflect the risk, but the statistics suggest a tight match.

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Musetti often wins his matches in 2 sets (90% outside Grand Slams), which could limit the total number of games. However, Mpetshi Perricard can extend the match. The low odds of 1.15 reflect the probability, but the risk of 3 sets makes confidence medium.

1.64

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lorenzo Musetti	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Win \| Lose	6 4	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	80%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	12%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	87%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	25%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	37%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%

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