Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: our prediction
08/05/2026•22:35
#10
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
6•4
6•4
Finished
#30
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
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1
-
X
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2
Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Lorenzo Musetti, the favorite, faces Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Musetti is in good form on clay and has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches. Mpetshi Perricard, the underdog, has a 40% win rate but tends to push matches to 3 sets (60% outside Grand Slams).
Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard predictions
Victory of Lorenzo Musetti
Musetti is the favorite with odds of 1.15. He has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches and is particularly strong on clay, his favorite surface. Mpetshi Perricard, although capable of pushing to 3 sets, has a 60% loss rate and is less experienced on this surface.
1.11
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Mpetshi Perricard tends to play matches in 3 sets (60% outside Grand Slams) and Musetti has lost at least one set as a favorite in 50% of his matches. The high odds of 5.34 reflect the risk, but the statistics suggest a tight match.
3
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Musetti often wins his matches in 2 sets (90% outside Grand Slams), which could limit the total number of games. However, Mpetshi Perricard can extend the match. The low odds of 1.15 reflect the probability, but the risk of 3 sets makes confidence medium.
1.64
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 12% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 87% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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