Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista Agut: our prediction
09/05/2026
#9
Brandon Nakashima
15:30
Today
#9
Roberto Bautista Agut
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Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Brandon Nakashima faces Roberto Bautista Agut in the first round of the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia on clay. Nakashima is the favorite with odds of 1.51, while Bautista Agut is the underdog at 2.53. Nakashima has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, but wins 60% of the time as a favorite. Bautista Agut has an 80% win rate as a favorite, but only 10% as an underdog. The match is best of 3 sets.
Our Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Bautista Agut finishes 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Nakashima, as a favorite, has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a match in 2 sets is high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.57
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Bautista Agut tends to finish his matches in 2 sets (80% of his non-Grand Slam matches). Nakashima has 60% of his matches in 2 sets when favored. A match in 2 sets usually implies fewer than 22.5 games.
1.84
Confidence
High (65 %)
Brandon Nakashima to win
Nakashima is the favorite and has a good record as a favorite (60% wins). Bautista Agut has a low win rate as an underdog (10%). The odds of 1.51 are attractive for a solid favorite.
1.51
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 90% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 37% |
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