Rugby

Tennis

Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko: our prediction

09/05/2026

Qinwen Zheng

14:00

Today

Jelena Ostapenko

Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Qinwen Zheng, the favorite, faces Jelena Ostapenko at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Zheng shows good form on clay, while the unpredictable Ostapenko can spring a surprise.

Our Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko predictions

Victory for Qinwen Zheng

Zheng is the favorite with odds of 1.47 and has an 80% win rate when favored. Ostapenko has a 30% win rate as an underdog. Recent form and surface (clay) favor Zheng.

1.48

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Zheng loses a set in 70% of her matches as a favorite, and Ostapenko wins a set in 70% of her matches as an underdog. This suggests a tight match with at least 3 sets.

2.43

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Although the match could go to 3 sets, statistics show that Zheng and Ostapenko tend to play tight matches. However, the odds for under 22.5 are low (1.47), reflecting moderate probability. Confidence is medium as the match could also be longer.

1.64

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Qinwen Zheng	Jelena Ostapenko
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	25%

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