Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko: our prediction
09/05/2026
#7
Qinwen Zheng
14:00
Today
#7
Jelena Ostapenko
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Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Qinwen Zheng, the favorite, faces Jelena Ostapenko at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Zheng shows good form on clay, while the unpredictable Ostapenko can spring a surprise.
Our Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko predictions
Victory for Qinwen Zheng
Zheng is the favorite with odds of 1.47 and has an 80% win rate when favored. Ostapenko has a 30% win rate as an underdog. Recent form and surface (clay) favor Zheng.
1.48
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Zheng loses a set in 70% of her matches as a favorite, and Ostapenko wins a set in 70% of her matches as an underdog. This suggests a tight match with at least 3 sets.
2.43
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, statistics show that Zheng and Ostapenko tend to play tight matches. However, the odds for under 22.5 are low (1.47), reflecting moderate probability. Confidence is medium as the match could also be longer.
1.64
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 25% |
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