Coco Gauff - Solana Sierra: our prediction
09/05/2026
#3
Coco Gauff
11:00
Today
#72
Solana Sierra
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1
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X
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2
Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Coco Gauff faces Solana Sierra in the first round of the Italian Open. Gauff, the heavy favorite with odds at 1.10, has a clear advantage on paper. Sierra, the underdog, will need to pull off an upset to trouble the American.
Our Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra predictions
Victory for Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.10. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches and an 80% win rate when favored with similar odds. Solana Sierra has a 50% win rate and has lost 50% of her matches as an underdog. The gap in ranking and form is significant.
1.1
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Set statistics show that Sierra finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets, and Gauff 40% in 2 sets. However, as a favorite, Gauff has 60% of her matches in 3 sets, but against a lower-ranked player, a straight-sets win is very likely. The probability of a 3rd set is low.
1.26
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Gauff tends to win quickly: 40% of her non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets, and 60% in 3 sets. Sierra, on the other hand, has 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Combined with Gauff's expected dominance, the match should end in straight sets, with under 22.5 games.
1.34
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 75% |
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