Rugby

Tennis

Hamad Medjedovic - Joao Fonseca: our prediction

09/05/2026

#42

Hamad Medjedovic

16:45

Today

#29

Joao Fonseca

Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

First round match of the Internazionali d'Italia between Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca. Medjedovic is in good form with 80% wins, while Fonseca is the favorite with odds of 1.38. The match promises to be close, but Fonseca seems to have the edge.

Our Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca predictions

Victory of Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca is the favorite with odds of 1.38 and an 80% win rate when favored. Medjedovic, despite good form, has only a 20% win rate as an outsider.

1.38

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Medjedovic tends to play 3-set matches (70% in 3 sets as an outsider), and Fonseca has 50% of his matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams. The match should be competitive.

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of 3 sets, the total number of games could exceed 22.5. Medjedovic has 70% of his matches in 3 sets, suggesting long matches.

1.85

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Hamad Medjedovic	Joao Fonseca
Win \| Lose	8 2	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	55%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	44%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	16%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	33%

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