Hamad Medjedovic - Joao Fonseca: our prediction
09/05/2026
#42
Hamad Medjedovic
16:45
Today
#29
Joao Fonseca
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Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the Internazionali d'Italia between Hamad Medjedovic and Joao Fonseca. Medjedovic is in good form with 80% wins, while Fonseca is the favorite with odds of 1.38. The match promises to be close, but Fonseca seems to have the edge.
Our Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca predictions
Victory of Joao Fonseca
Joao Fonseca is the favorite with odds of 1.38 and an 80% win rate when favored. Medjedovic, despite good form, has only a 20% win rate as an outsider.
1.38
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Medjedovic tends to play 3-set matches (70% in 3 sets as an outsider), and Fonseca has 50% of his matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams. The match should be competitive.
2
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets, the total number of games could exceed 22.5. Medjedovic has 70% of his matches in 3 sets, suggesting long matches.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 62% | 44% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 16% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 33% |
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