Frances Tiafoe - Ignacio Buse: our prediction
09/05/2026
#16
Frances Tiafoe
15:30
Today
#60
Ignacio Buse
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X
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2
Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Frances Tiafoe faces Ignacio Buse in the first round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on clay. Tiafoe, favorite with odds of 1.69, has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Buse is at 50%. Tiafoe is more experienced and higher ranked, but Buse could surprise.
Our Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Tiafoe has a 50% rate of matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams, and Buse 60%. Additionally, Tiafoe has a 50% rate in 2 sets when favored. It is likely that the match ends in 2 sets, meaning under 2.5 sets.
2.15
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Tiafoe tends to win in 2 sets in 50% of his non-Grand Slam matches, and Buse in 60%. Additionally, Tiafoe has a 50% win rate in 2 sets when favored. The match should be relatively short, with under 22.5 games.
2.15
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory for Frances Tiafoe
Tiafoe is the favorite with odds of 1.69 and has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches. He also has a 90% win rate when favored, which is very high. Buse has a 50% win rate and has lost 5 of his last 10 matches. Tiafoe is more experienced and should win.
2.2
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 25% |
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