Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Miguel Tobon: our prediction
08/05/2026•22:10
#202
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
2:0
6•1
6•3
Finished
#421
Miguel Tobon
-
1
-
X
-
2
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon Preview — Santos
Match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Miguel Tobon in Santos. Pucinelli de Almeida is the favorite with odds of 1.61, but his recent form is average (4 wins in 10). Tobon, underdog at 2.16, has shown a good ability to win as an underdog (40% wins). The match is likely to go to 3 sets, according to statistics.
Our Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon predictions
Victory for Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Pucinelli de Almeida is the favorite and has a 50% win rate when favored. Tobon has never won as a favorite (0% in 2 matches). The odds of 1.61 are attractive for a favorite.
1.43
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Tobon has 60% of his matches in 3 sets (outside Grand Slams). Pucinelli de Almeida has 40% of his matches in 3 sets. Both players tend to play close matches, favoring a third set.
2.55
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets, the total number of games could exceed 22.5. Tobon tends to play close matches, and Pucinelli de Almeida often loses at least one set (60% as favorite).
2.24
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 12% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 87% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 100% |
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