Rugby

Tennis

Andrea Pellegrino - Arthur Fils: our prediction

09/05/2026

#150

Andrea Pellegrino

18:30

Today

Arthur Fils

Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Andrea Pellegrino faces Arthur Fils in the first round of the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Pellegrino is the underdog with odds of 6.24, while Fils is the heavy favorite at 1.10. Fils is in excellent form with a 90% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Pellegrino has only 60%. On clay, Fils is particularly formidable.

Our Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils predictions

Arthur Fils Victory

Arthur Fils is the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.10. He has won 90% of his last 10 matches and 100% of his matches as a favorite. Pellegrino, with only 60% wins and 40% wins as an underdog, seems largely outclassed. The gap in level is too big.

1.1

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets

Given Fils' form and Pellegrino's relative weakness, it is very likely that the match will end in 2 sets. Fils has 70% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Pellegrino 50%. A third set is unlikely.

1.1

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Arthur Fils has won 70% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and 50% in 2 sets when favorite. Pellegrino has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. With Fils' expected dominance, the match should be quick and finish in under 22.5 games.

1.1

Confidence

High

Market signals on Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Andrea Pellegrino	Arthur Fils
Win \| Lose	6 4	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	16%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	83%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	66%

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