Andrea Pellegrino - Arthur Fils: our prediction
09/05/2026
#150
Andrea Pellegrino
18:30
Today
#4
Arthur Fils
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1
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X
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2
Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Andrea Pellegrino faces Arthur Fils in the first round of the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Pellegrino is the underdog with odds of 6.24, while Fils is the heavy favorite at 1.10. Fils is in excellent form with a 90% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Pellegrino has only 60%. On clay, Fils is particularly formidable.
Our Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils predictions
Arthur Fils Victory
Arthur Fils is the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.10. He has won 90% of his last 10 matches and 100% of his matches as a favorite. Pellegrino, with only 60% wins and 40% wins as an underdog, seems largely outclassed. The gap in level is too big.
1.1
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets
Given Fils' form and Pellegrino's relative weakness, it is very likely that the match will end in 2 sets. Fils has 70% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Pellegrino 50%. A third set is unlikely.
1.1
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
Arthur Fils has won 70% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and 50% in 2 sets when favorite. Pellegrino has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. With Fils' expected dominance, the match should be quick and finish in under 22.5 games.
1.1
Confidence
High
Market signals on Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 9 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 16% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 83% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 66% |
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