Liudmila Samsonova - Anastasia Potapova: our prediction
10/05/2026•13:25

#15

Liudmila Samsonova
0:2
3•6
2•6
Finished

#17

Anastasia Potapova
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1
-
X
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2
Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the Italian Open between Liudmila Samsonova and Anastasia Potapova. Potapova, the favorite, shows far superior recent form with 80% wins in her last 10 matches, compared to only 30% for Samsonova. Statistics indicate a tendency for tight matches, with a propensity to go to 3 sets outside of Grand Slams.
Our Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova predictions
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, scores tend to be tight but not excessively long. Potapova, as a favorite, tends to win her matches in straight sets 50% of the time (outside Grand Slams). Even in 3 sets, games often stay under the 22.5 mark. The combination of Potapova's dominance and the tendency for tight sets makes this bet consistent with the previous two.
1.64
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Outside of Grand Slams, Samsonova plays 50% of her matches in 3 sets, and Potapova 60%. As a favorite, Potapova loses at least one set in 50% of her matches. Samsonova, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 40% of cases. These statistics suggest a high probability of the match going beyond 2 sets.
2.33
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory for Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova is the clear favorite with odds of 1.56. She has an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Samsonova. Furthermore, as a favorite, Potapova wins 90% of her matches, while Samsonova only wins 10% as an underdog. Recent form and statistics heavily favor Potapova.
1.56
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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